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  1. #1
    Senior Professional Array aPpLe_IpHoNe's Avatar

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    Lightbulb Some speculative topics!

    Hi guys!

    I have two topics about this euphoria about the s/w solution that are going to be released in a few next days and I will like to know what you think about them. I know this is totally speculative info.

    - Do you think that Apple is going to lock down the unlocked iPhones with a future update?

    IMO I will have to say yes . Just think about the new upcoming markets (Europe, AsiaÖ) I donít think anyone in those countries want to be tied to a 2 yr contract if they can have the phone working with their own number and the carrier they chose.

    - Do you think that Apple is going to change the way iPhones are being sold?

    Well thatís all. I just want to know your thoughts and opinions.



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    I suspect they will tackle it through software updates rather than alter any roll-out plans... I am also sure they have anticipated this... There will always be more legitimate network attached phones than not, and especially as the roll-out continues across europe etc...

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    Tricky issue for Apple.

    If they act too aggressively to lock it back down, they risk seriously p***ing off a lot of their biggest fans. Word is that one of those unlock sites has 450,000 registrations of interest, and that's just the people willing to register.

    On the other hand, Apple are thought to be making $11/month from each new AT&T customer, and 10% from their recently agreed European partners. Each unlocked phone will forfeit that revenue.

    But against that, they will sell a lot more phones.

    Personally, I feel Apple was stupid to have not done something like this:

    There was a rumor on Scott Bourne's Apple Phone Show podcast in the weeks leading up to the June launch that Apple would sell an additional model alongside the others:

    4 GB iPhone - $499 (locked to AT&T)
    8 GB iPhone - $599 (locked to AT&T)
    8 GB iPhone - $999 (unlocked)

    The extra cost was to compensate for lost income from the revenue sharing deal. It wouldn't have hurt AT&T, because people in the US still need service and AT&T is the only one with good nationwide coverage, a fair data plan (which the iPhone thrives on), and only AT&T, not T-Mobile, has the compelling visual voicemail feature. Most US people would buy the cheaper, networked locked model.

    As someone currently not living in the US and needing to use an overseas carrier, I would have bought the $999 model on June 29.

    So you lost that revenue from me, Apple. Judging from the massive interest in unlocking solutions, so would a lot of other people. More potential revenue lost.

    As it was, I had to get the normal 8 GB model, use it as a super-iPod until August, and spend a fair amount of money and my time to get it unlocked. Apple got none of that. The same will soon be happening for people going with software unlocks.

    The higher price point for an unlocked phone wouldn't have affected the European launch, because again most (non hard core) people will want the cheaper price of the network locked phone, and to not have to go to the trouble of importing one. Those who want the flexibility could pay extra for it.

    Since they chose not to do that, they're now going to have to decide whether to deliberately break unlocked phones by leaving them stranded without updates.

    If they do, there will be a lot of unhappy Apple customers around.

    What value the "halo effect..?"

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    If the unlock is based on calculating the unlocking code with the IMEI number, then I think the unlock will always work.

    There are countries where by law mobile carriers *must* unlock the phone for free if asked by the customer (like in France). So surely, Apple will not remove the ability to unlock the phone in a future update. Especially as people have been led to believe that after 2 years with AT&T they could unlock their phone for free

 

 

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